Thursday, November 19, 2009

Morgan Stanley’s Mack: ‘We Cannot Control Ourselves’


I'll just put Mr. Mack's picture over there on the right for a while until I understand him a little better.  You might want to read Sorkin's "Dealbook" at the Times this morning.  Seems Mr. Mack has more to say about regulators and the ability of a firm like Morgan Stanley to "police itself".

I am wondering what this has to say about the human condition.  The illustration bouncing around in my head is of a mother of a diabetic child.  The kid loves candy and she knows it isn't good for him but gives it to him anyway so the kid will feel less deprived. The kid can't help himself and the mom, who is in charge of the kid, sees the short term solution but neglects the long term consequences.

Where do people learn not to abide by common sense and self restraint?  Mack seems to be highly intelligent and by a measure of profits, extremely capable.  Does he, however, ever wake up in the morning and say "no, we shouldn't do that..it would be wrong".

I watched Cramer once on TV when asked the same moral question regarding the duty to society and the duty to the shareholders.  He laughed as if there was no question there worth considering. Suppose I have a lot to learn about the corporate world and the greater good.  Still, I wonder where people learn that stuff.

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

You just have to pick the "right" school....


So I spent the afternoon at yet another "learn how to trade stocks" seminar put on by some nare-thee-wells who go around the country renting hotel rooms, running late night infomercials, and taking poor innocents' money that they are trying to both save and grow.

I don't like these guys and guys like them one bit.

The entire seminar was one jawdropping "how would YOU like to be in control" question after another.....everything from "make a million" to "never have to work again". 
Just take our two day course and know all you need to know. It's regularly $6000 but if you sign up right now we will cut it to $3,995....blah blah blah.

If you sign up right now you get a 1/3 discount which is like the supermarket where the jack up the price of hamburger and sell it two for one. 

These guys remind me of the school in the picture. Foundation borded up and the upper windows open.  MORAL:  All schools aren't alike.  No two are.  Keep track of Prism Trading School (http://www.prismtradingschool.com/) ... we will never be like those guys.

Mr. Know It All


Remember?  Our good friend Mr. Know It All?...and cooking the Thanksgiving turkey....

Just how many Mr. Know It Alls prance around on our TV sets every night.  The redundit Kudlow, always looking for the silver lining, the hysterical Cramer, the pompous Dobbs, the bloviating Matthews, the incessant Obermann, the churlish Madow, the entire cast of fools at Faux Noise and we haven't even reached talk radio.

So why Bullwinkle's famous turkey bit and why the list of bad actors? Because they have something in common.  Bad advice.  Because they have the floor as  Bullwinkle has the stove, they can say about anything they please and do.  It doesn't matter if they are right or wrong, they have the stove and they are going to do what they want, common sense and facts aside.

So this is a blog about life among traders and trading.  Frankly there is no more honest profession.  These guys are trading real money and if they just do hunches and "I thinks" then they are going to be out money - their money - real money so they can't go into flights of fantasy.  Provacatures need not apply.

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

A view from Space


Now that the holidays approach I'm reminded of Scrooge and the unfurling of the two child/orphans of man "ignorance" and "want".  Dickens was allagorical enough to realize that these two offspring come in many forms...from poor illiterates to mindless greed types.  Want takes many forms from hunger to Madoff greed.  Ignorance is even more disperate.

So what of this picture?  If I were on the Enterprise and Captain Kirk took a look down at his earth and was asked to pick the "average Joe" from the population...someone who stood right on the mid-line of the bell curve...what or who would he find?
Statistically it would be a rural Chinese making about $3000 a year and there are more than a few million of them.  It would not be an American or a European nor someone from a lost tribe in the Phillipines. Statistically we are in Western China somewhere and this is the guy.  He isn't ignorant. Perhaps just not educated.  He isn't poor by his contemporary standards and perhaps he doesn't "want" in the conventional sense except in times of poor harvest.  So what's the point?

You should read Mr. Krugman's article (click here).  Then think that we have policy makers making huge decisions that effect the very fabric of society - economics and values.  They make them on a basis that is so far removed from the "average Joe" just trying to get by.  We argue about the trade imbalance between China and the US and the Rinimbi v. the Dollar.  Our average Joe's life isn't much effected by the currency "crisis" (opposed to the US's Joe who is creamed by it). 

The point is that the debates swirl at a level that is light years from the persons directly effected by the outcome. The gap or disconnect is huge.  All the average Joe knows is that his life is the same as it was years or decades back yet it is somehow harder and he is less and less connected to those making decisions - the the decision makers are, unfortunately just another set of ignorance and want.

Monday, November 16, 2009

Bowing

It's Monday and part of the country is all over Mr. Obama for bowing to a foreign leader.  Just for fun's sake, here is a little bit about the Japanese "bow" etiquette.

Part of me wants to scream out at him ...when you bow you keep face contact like he is doing. You are looking at his feet.

Remember the Karate Kid?
Show me wax on, wax off.
Show me paint the fence.
Show me side, side.
Show me sand the floor.
Look eye! Always look eye.








Come back tomorrow.

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Oh and just one more thing...(health care)

I'll call this "why do people hate their health insurance carriers" and be done with it.  The villian here is Blue Cross Blue Shield  ....better known as "we may be stupid but it's policy".

My wife had two outpatient procedures, both required anesthesia.  She didn't pick the anesthesiologist, just the doctor who performed the procedures at his outpatient clinic. So we get this bill from the knock 'em out docs for about 3 grand as BCBS won't pay anything as the procedures weren't done in an approved place although the docs were approved and the anesthesiologists, whom we didn't pick or have any say about, were out of network although our health care plan says we can go to anyone.

So I call the nitwits at BCBS who explained to me how everything was being applied to out "out of network" deductible.  As we don't have a network I thought that was interesting.  But the real problem was that the clinic where these procedures took place was not approved although it was an extension of the Dr.'s office.
So I trudged up the the notification sent to  BCBS a week before by the doctor explaining to BCBS the where and who.  Yes BCBS had that but they didn't specifically approve the location, and wanted it done in the local Long Island hospital rather then the clinic (at about 5x's the cost mind you).

So this is why I hate BCBS.  8 months ago BCBS stopped partnering with the 3 hospitals that service the east end of Long Island.  They won't pay them until a contract for payments is reached and as I follow this through my old local online paper i find that BCBS is about 6 months late in payments submitted and they pay - now get this - at the last rate which was 2001.  So they pay 180 days late and at 55% of what the hospital submits.

I'm sure glad there is no need for health care reform.  Friggin' nitwits.

Friday, November 13, 2009

Just a pondering on health insurance and I'll get off my soapbox.

I was a guest of the Cleveland Clinic these past 3 1/2 days for some medical problems that could simply happen to anyone and does frequently.

First of all hospitals and ERs take everyone - they have to so this is a two part mini-rant.  I had a referral to a regular doctor there who saw me as my symptons went acute and he sent me to the ER and eventually into the hospital.  I would have never gotten in to see the initial doctor if I didn't have insurance End of story. My insurance card was my carte blanche into the system.  Without it I would have been sent directly to the ER.

As it was I spent 18 hours there which, again would have happened insurance or not but now my bill is over $7000 and my insurance will pay but if not the hospital is in the hole 7 grand. So two days in patient in a modified ICU for non-critical but those who require round the clock...bill is now approaching 20 grand. Insurance pays and I'm treated.  Hospital is out only the difference between what my insurance is paying and the limits to my deductable. Now it gets crazy. 

I am discharged and my non-insured ghost either stiffs the clinic for $20,000 or makes an absurd payment agreement but $20k is like a car payment. I went to the pharmacy to get a ton of Rx's. My co-pay is $200 and I'm told that the flat out cost was about $1000. So this is where non-insured people quite frankly go to die.  I'll be out $200 a month for the rest of my life.  A small price to pay to stay alive but I can't miss a day ever.

The poor among us or the uninsured among us simply die.  And judging by how I felt the last while, it would not be a kindly death.  They die leaving a pile of bills and in horrible shape and always one more step to go to get back to just even...never preventive, never proactive, just trying to stay close to the game.

I could go on and on as to who actually pays for the uninsured (we all know that the insured pays or the hospitals just dish it out for free)...but who pays for suffering and death?  Our collective society does. So many would have health care recourse if the programs in place were taken full advantage of but walking into an ER, sick as a dog and then fending through the medicine procurement issue just doesn't seem logical.